Management System Success is Management Success


 Looking for SUCCESS? In safety, or in any other area?

To find out more, go to the Succes in Safety page to find out more.

[1] Risk Management, Safety and Control of Loss - Protecting Your Organization

[2] Making Your Future - In Business and in Other Parts of Life 



My books Success in Safety Improvement Model Management System Success Improvement Process 17-Step Process Improvement Process Rating Management System Structure Management System Content Improving the Management System The Audit Management System Rating International Safety Rating System Accidents and Incidents Accident Investigation Protocol Safety Opinion Survey

Accident Imaging - Learn from what did not happen yet


Basically "accident imaging" is: imagine what can happen given in a given situation. When you do that, look at the broad picture and include all possible unwanted events, not just accidents alone.  


Accident imaging is answering the question "what if?", what could happen if the situation was different from what it is now?  


Accident imaging - what if? How much imagination do you need?



Accident imaging could provide important information to secure continued operation of your company or organization and improve the management system.


Accident imaging can take place during design stages of installations, work environment and procedures. It can take place during inspections and investigation of unwanted events. In fact it can take place during all or most business processes. What if we would lose that particular supplier? What if the warehouse would burn down? What if we would lose one of our key people? What if we loose our power supply, would we lose clients? What if we would have a fire, how much would we loose? WHAT IF?


Two examples of "what if?"


[1] In January 2011 there was the fire at a chemical storage plant in Moerdijk, The Netherlands. An employee used an open flame to defrost a pump with the end result that the total plant burned down and went into bankruptcy later on; no injuries. 


[2] In my own experience is a card board manufacturer in Belgium. This happened early seventies when I was working as a technical representative for INA, the US insurance company. My job was to look at factories to give my opinion about the insurability of the plant concerned. My advice in this case was rather straightforward: not recommended for insurance with an estimated maximum property loss of 90% of sum insured. Two months later, the plant burned down killing six people with a almost total property loss, saving only the power plant representing 10% of sum insured.
Two examples what may happen when the unwanted - but foreseeable - event occurred.



The quality of the management team is determined by:

  1. knowing in advance what problems can occur in their organization or unit
  2. the number and size of problems that occur
  3. knowing what the causes of those problems would be and
  4. Knowing the actions that should be taken to minimize the negative effects

A quality management team should only have known problems with limited consequences



Accident Imaging - the process


The process of accident imaging would include the following steps and considerations: 

  1. description of a situation/deviation from existing circumstances - what adverse situation could happen?
  2. how often could the unwanted situation or event occur?
  3. what are be the likely or possible consequences of the situation or event?
  4. what are the likely or possible causes that may lead to the unwanted event?
  5. what preventive and contingency actions can be taken?
  6. what would be the results of the actions?
  7. what would be the costs of the actions?
  8. who is going to do what and when?

Risk classification is important in this process, to estimate event frequency and consequences in steps 2 and 3 as well as in step 6 and 7 when considering potential action results and their costs.


Accident Imaging - remember Murphy's Law: "What can happen, will happen". A matter of chance. Not doing anything is like Russian Roulette.


LMRA - Last Minute Risk Analysis


LMRA - "Last minute risk analysis" or "last minute risk assessment" is a "tool" to assist in developing the habit of looking at the job environment prior to starting the work. It boils down to the question: "can I carry out the job without unnecessary risks?" 


LMRA and accident or incident imaging are closely related. The both are answering the question: "what could happen go wrong in this situation?"


LMRA should take into account the working environment, materials and equipment used and working procedures followed. This way they could provide relevant information to update the management system elements such as design and change management (installations, workplace), purchasing (materials, tools) and training (work procedures).   


Behavior programs  


Behavior / observation programs are directed at developing desired behavior by observing actual behavior and correcting deviations through discussion with the people involved.  


Those programs are related to accident imaging as they would/should also consider the environment in which the behavior (the way the work is being done) takes place.


Behavior programs may be executed to stimulate management teams to visit the shop floor. However, effective behavior programs will function at the level where the work is being done and involve the people doing the actual work. The end results of such programs should encourage peer involvement as part of a company culture in which people will share responsibility for work properly carried out, without undue risks and unwanted events leading to loss.  


Behavior programs should also take into account the working environment, materials and equipment used and working procedures and provide information to improve the management system. 


Accident imaging - key to problem based culture change


Accident imaging is essential in design and change management to prevent and eliminate problem sources before unwanted events and their losses will occur.


Accident imaging in its various forms- including LMRA and behavior programs - can be an important aspect in risk and problem control and will help stimulating based culture change. 






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